Escalating trade disputes have already curbed the flow of wine across the US and Canadian border and are poised to have significant impacts on the global trade this year. The US wine market remains the world’s largest, but consumer demand proved weaker than expected through the end of 2024 and into this year as total market volume declined 4% to 362 million cases. Volume declines are slowing and that could signal the market is arriving at a new baseline for future growth if wineries can successfully increase direct sales to offset flat premium wine sales and declining sales of lower-priced wines.
While expectations for growth have declined among wineries in the US and Canada, the majority remain confident they will increase sales and expect the total market to grow. Increasing demand among younger consumers is vital for wineries to realize the potential growth in coming years.
View the second annual BMO Wine Market Report.